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Murfreesboro, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Murfreesboro TN
National Weather Service Forecast for: Murfreesboro TN
Issued by: National Weather Service Nashville, TN
Updated: 2:11 pm CDT Jun 26, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Tonight

Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm.  Patchy fog between 3am and 4am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Patchy Fog
Friday

Friday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
Friday
Night
Friday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Saturday

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 1pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Chance
T-storms

Sunday

Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 90. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Showers
Likely then
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Monday

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  High near 92. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
Hi 96 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 93 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 90 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 92 °F

Heat Advisory
 

This Afternoon
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind.
Tonight
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Patchy fog between 3am and 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind.
Friday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 1pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Sunday
 
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 90. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 92. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Tuesday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Wednesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Thursday
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Murfreesboro TN.

Weather Forecast Discussion
953
FXUS64 KOHX 261735
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1235 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1233 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

- Dangerous heat will continue through Friday as heat index
  values reach into the triple digits each day.

- Rain chances will gradually increase late this week and
  especially this weekend.

- Temperatures will taper off closer to seasonal normals next
  week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1051 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

We are a touch cooler right now than we have been previous days
due to a rather large area of rain and thunderstorms that pushed
north through the western half of the area this morning.
Temperatures are sitting around 80 to 85 degrees, however,
satellite does show pockets of clearing within the cloud shield,
so temperatures will continue to rise through the afternoon. With
dew point temperatures still in the 70s, today will once again
feature very hot and humid conditions with heat index values in
the triple digits. As for thunderstorm development through the
remainder of today, the latest HREF brings pretty widespread
scattered activity this afternoon assuming clouds continue to
clear out enough for instability to ramp back up. Similar to
previous days this week, there is very little thermodynamic
support for severe thunderstorms as bulk shear values are in the
single digits and mid-level lapse rates are poor. CAPEs will be
high, though, so any storms that do develop will likely go up very
quick. DCAPE values jumped out at me today with values near 1300
J/kg, and coupled with PWAT values still near 1.70", very heavy
downpours will be possible. This could lead to gusty winds and
flash flooding, so be very cautious if you get caught under a
storm today.

Activity will dwindle down this evening and it will be another
warm and muggy night with lows in the mid 70s. Friday will feature
similar conditions with perhaps more widespread convection as the
ridge continues to break down.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1051 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

The heat advisory will finally be allowed to expire at 7 PM
Friday. As we move into the weekend, daily rain and thunderstorm
chances will stay with us as we lose the influence of the ridge.
It will still be hot and humid, but temperatures will be back
closer to what we`re used to in late June as drier air is allowed
to mix back in, keeping heat indicies lower. An upper level low
will move across the Great Lakes at the start of the work week
that will eventually bring a front through the area. This
currently looks to happen on Tuesday. PWAT values look to increase
once again to near 2" which exceeds the 90th percentile sounding
climatology for Nashville. Efficient rainfall rates will be
possible with any activity we see through mid week, so again, be
on the lookout for any flooding. On the plus side, bulk shear
values currently look low each day, generally less than 10 kts,
so this does not favor severe weather. Temperatures will be near
normal through next week with daily highs in the upper 80s to low
90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Light and variable to light SW winds this afternoon with VFR
conditions. Scattered thunderstorms develop across the CWA late
this afternoon into early evening. Tonight, some areas of reduced
VIS is possible throughout Middle TN. VFR conditions and light
winds continue through Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      74  93  75  92 /  20  40  20  60
Clarksville    74  93  74  90 /  10  20  30  60
Crossville     68  87  68  85 /  20  60  30  70
Columbia       72  92  72  91 /  20  50  20  60
Cookeville     70  88  70  86 /  20  50  30  70
Jamestown      69  88  68  86 /  10  50  30  70
Lawrenceburg   71  91  71  89 /  30  50  20  60
Murfreesboro   72  93  72  91 /  20  50  20  60
Waverly        72  91  72  91 /  20  20  20  50

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for TNZ005>011-023>034-
056>066-075-077>080-093>095.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....Cravens
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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